Market Wave Trend Factors

The wave trend in stocks turned down this past week. With negative volume trend turning up slightly,

A full blown bear market trend would include strong positive volume and include the 200 day moving trimmed mean turning negative also.

Wilshire 5000

February 19 – August 21

S&P 500 Equal Weight

Volume Wave Trend

February 19 – August 21

Overall Outlook

Short-term – Bearish

Long-term Secular – Bearish

Chief rationale: Wave pattern & volume, deflationary concerns

Prices for final demand down 0.4% for year over year- July

Current Secular Cycle


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